Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 13/11, 21:00
Prediction: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Alastair Gray
Team pages: Abedallah Shelbayh · Alastair Gray
Prediction summary
Winner
Abedallah Shelbayh
Alastair Gray
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Abedallah Shelbayh
5-5 (W-L)
Alastair Gray
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Abedallah Shelbayh 1502 · Alastair Gray 1554
| Abedallah Shelbayh | Alastair Gray | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alastair Gray (rating 1502 vs 1554).
Statistics
| Abedallah Shelbayh | Alastair Gray | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.6 | 11-10.2 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 27% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Marcos Giron Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 11/11 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Michael Antonius Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/10 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alastair Gray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/11 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 05/11 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Valentin Royer Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Norman |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Luca Pow M25 Norman |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Norman |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Emanuel Ivanisevic M25 Norman |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Abedallah Shelbayh vs Alastair Gray?
Our model gives 50% to Abedallah Shelbayh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.