Tennis · Challenger Lima · 13/11, 17:00
Prediction: Alan Magadan vs Franco Roncadelli
Team pages: Alan Magadan · Franco Roncadelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Magadan
Franco Roncadelli
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Magadan
5-5 (W-L)
Franco Roncadelli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Magadan 1501 · Franco Roncadelli 1540
| Alan Magadan | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alan Magadan | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.5 | 12.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/11 | Filip Misolic Challenger Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Alessandro Rubini Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/11 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Ricardo Sebastian Ramos Vargas Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/11 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Magadan vs Franco Roncadelli?
Our model gives 64% to Franco Roncadelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.