Tennis · Challenger Lima · 12/11, 17:00
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Max Alcala Gurri
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
7-3 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1536 · Max Alcala Gurri 1562
| Tristan Boyer | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11 | 11.8-8 |
| Aces | 3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/11 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/11 | Facundo Mena Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/10 | Andy Andrade Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 56% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.