Tennis · Challenger Lima · 12/11, 17:00
Prediction: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Team pages: Genaro Alberto Olivieri · Juan Pablo Varillas
Prediction summary
Winner
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Juan Pablo Varillas
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
6-4 (W-L)
Juan Pablo Varillas
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
2–6
Juan Pablo Varillas
(8 last)
- 04 Mar0-2 6-13L
- 13 Oct1-2 13-14L
- 29 Mar0-2 2-12L
- 22 Sept0-2 4-12L
- 06 Mar0-2 7-12L
- 21 Jun2-0 12-5W
- 07 Jun1-2 12-17L
- 13 Mar2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1535 · Juan Pablo Varillas 1488
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Genaro Alberto Olivieri (rating 1535 vs 1488).
- Head-to-head: Genaro Alberto Olivieri 2–6 Juan Pablo Varillas (8).
Statistics
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 10.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 2 – 6 Juan Pablo Varillas (8)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 2–6 Juan Pablo Varillas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/25 Challenger Cordoba | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/10/22 Challenger Rio De Janeiro | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 29/03/22 Challenger Pereira | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/09/21 Challenger Ambato | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/03/18 ITF Turkey F9 | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06/17 ITF Argentina F3 | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06/17 ITF Argentina F1 | 1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/03/17 Challenger Buenos Aires Qual | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 08/11 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/11 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Valentino Grippo Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Juan Pablo Varillas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/11 | Filip Misolic Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/09 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
Our model gives 51% to Genaro Alberto Olivieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.