Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 13/11, 03:30
Prediction: Xinxin Yao vs Emerson Jones
Team pages: Xinxin Yao · Emerson Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinxin Yao
Emerson Jones
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Xinxin Yao
7-3 (W-L)
Emerson Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinxin Yao 1579 · Emerson Jones 1483
| Xinxin Yao | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xinxin Yao (rating 1579 vs 1483).
- Xinxin Yao is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Xinxin Yao | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10 | 11.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Yuki Naito W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/11 | Renee Alame W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Katie Swan W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Xiaodi You W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Hanna Chang W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Sijia Wei W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Astra Sharma W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/11 | Chengyiyi Yuan W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Alexandra Eala WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Heather Watson WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Heather Watson WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinxin Yao vs Emerson Jones?
Our model gives 58% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.