Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 13/11, 02:00
Prediction: Himeno Sakatsume vs Zhuoxuan Bai
Team pages: Himeno Sakatsume · Zhuoxuan Bai
Prediction summary
Winner
Himeno Sakatsume
Zhuoxuan Bai
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Himeno Sakatsume
4-6 (W-L)
Zhuoxuan Bai
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Himeno Sakatsume 1514 · Zhuoxuan Bai 1500
| Himeno Sakatsume | Zhuoxuan Bai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Himeno Sakatsume | Zhuoxuan Bai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.6 | 10.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 49% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Yujia Huang W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/11 | Alana Subasic W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Tereza Valentova WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/11 | Elena Pridankina WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 31/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Simona Waltert WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Zhuoxuan Bai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Naiktha Bains W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/11 | Wushuang Zheng W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Sara Saito W100 Incheon |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Caroline Werner W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Daria Zelinskaya W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Varvara Panshina W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 09/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Himeno Sakatsume vs Zhuoxuan Bai?
Our model gives 56% to Himeno Sakatsume, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.