Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 13/11, 02:00
Prediction: Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki
Team pages: Joanna Garland · Olivia Gadecki
Prediction summary
Winner
Joanna Garland
Olivia Gadecki
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Joanna Garland
7-3 (W-L)
Olivia Gadecki
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joanna Garland
1–0
Olivia Gadecki
(1 last)
- 21 Nov2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joanna Garland 1536 · Olivia Gadecki 1469
| Joanna Garland | Olivia Gadecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joanna Garland (rating 1536 vs 1469).
- Joanna Garland is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Joanna Garland 1–0 Olivia Gadecki (1).
Statistics
| Joanna Garland | Olivia Gadecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.4 | 9.5-10 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Joanna Garland 1 – 0 Olivia Gadecki (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joanna Garland 1–0 Olivia Gadecki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/23 ITF W60 Brisbane | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joanna Garland
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Sijia Wei W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/11 | Hikaru Sato W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Janice Tjen WTA Chennai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Jil Teichmann WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/10 | Maddison Inglis WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Xinyu Wang WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Storm Hunter WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Ellen Perez WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Olivia Gadecki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Savannah Broadus W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/11 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Himeno Sakatsume W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Harriet Dart W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Katherine Sebov W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/02 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Trnava |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/01 | Sloane Stephens Australian Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/01 | Arantxa Rus Australian Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/01 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki?
Our model gives 62% to Joanna Garland, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.