Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 13/11, 03:10
Prediction: Dane Sweeny vs Juncheng Shang
Team pages: Dane Sweeny · Juncheng Shang
Prediction summary
Winner
Dane Sweeny
Juncheng Shang
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dane Sweeny
4-6 (W-L)
Juncheng Shang
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dane Sweeny
0–1
Juncheng Shang
(1 last)
- 07 Sept0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dane Sweeny 1509 · Juncheng Shang 1475
| Dane Sweeny | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Dane Sweeny 0–1 Juncheng Shang (1).
Statistics
| Dane Sweeny | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11 | 12.9-14 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 39% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Dane Sweeny 0 – 1 Juncheng Shang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dane Sweeny 0–1 Juncheng Shang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/23 Challenger Shanghai | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dane Sweeny
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Casey Hoole Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/11 | Anton Shepp Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Tristan Schoolkate ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
Juncheng Shang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 10/11 | Jake Delaney Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Marco Trungelliti US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-20 | L |
| 14/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dane Sweeny vs Juncheng Shang?
Our model gives 57% to Juncheng Shang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.