Tennis · M25 Montreal · 12/11, 16:00
Prediction: Maximilian Marterer vs Alexander Rozin
Team pages: Maximilian Marterer · Alexander Rozin
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximilian Marterer
Alexander Rozin
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maximilian Marterer
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Rozin
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximilian Marterer 1533 · Alexander Rozin 1483
| Maximilian Marterer | Alexander Rozin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximilian Marterer (rating 1533 vs 1483).
Statistics
| Maximilian Marterer | Alexander Rozin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.3 | 10.9-11 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 31.9% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximilian Marterer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Johannus Monday M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Arthur Bouquier M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Tom Paris M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniel Masur M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alexander Rozin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Montreal |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/10 | Jack Anthrop M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Ofek Shimanov M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximilian Marterer vs Alexander Rozin?
Our model gives 57% to Maximilian Marterer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.