Tennis · WTA Sopo · 12/11, 16:00

Prediction: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Team pages: Elizabeth Mandlik · Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Elizabeth Mandlik Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Elizabeth Mandlik 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLWW
Andrea Lazaro Garcia 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elizabeth Mandlik 1524 · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1580
Elizabeth MandlikAndrea Lazaro Garcia
Our model42%58%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Lazaro Garcia (rating 1524 vs 1580).
  • Note: Elizabeth Mandlik makes many double faults (6.4/match).
  • Note: Andrea Lazaro Garcia makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Elizabeth MandlikAndrea Lazaro Garcia
Win %60%80%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 86% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-1.11.7-0.8
Games (G-P)13.7-12.613.3-10.9
Aces1.40.7
Double faults6.45.8
1st serve %59.3%63.7%
Break %45.4%57.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elizabeth Mandlik

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Sopo · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/11 Veronika Erjavec
WTA Sopo · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
03/11 Jazmin Ortenzi
WTA Cali · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
01/11 Selena Janicijevic
WTA Cali · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
31/10 Fiona Ferro
WTA Queretaro · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
29/10 Selena Janicijevic
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-1 14-10 W
27/10 Emiliana Arango
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
23/10 Madison Brengle
W50 Austin
1-2 13-15 L
22/10 Barbora Palicova
W50 Austin
2-0 14-12 W
21/10 Martina Capurro Taborda
W50 Austin
2-1 16-12 W

Andrea Lazaro Garcia

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Jazmin Ortenzi
WTA Sopo · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
10/11 Katrina Scott
WTA Sopo · Clay
2-1 19-16 W
15/10 Nuria Brancaccio
WTA Mallorca · Clay
2-1 19-16 W
12/10 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Mallorca · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
01/10 Sonay Kartal
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/09 Tian Jialin
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-1 13-14 W
18/09 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
WTA Valencia · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
16/09 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Carlota Martinez Cirez
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia?

Our model gives 58% to Andrea Lazaro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.