Prediction: Alice Tubello vs Polona Hercog
Team pages: Alice Tubello · Polona Hercog
Prediction summary
Winner
Alice Tubello
Polona Hercog
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alice Tubello
7-3 (W-L)
Polona Hercog
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alice Tubello 1623 · Polona Hercog 1548
| Alice Tubello | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alice Tubello (rating 1623 vs 1548).
- Alice Tubello is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alice Tubello | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-7.6 | 10.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 66% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alice Tubello
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Tatjana Maria WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/11 | Julia Riera WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/11 | Julia Grabher WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 31/10 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Luna Maria Cinalli WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Polona Hercog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Carole Monnet WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/11 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/11 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Maria Jose Rico Sanchez WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/10 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Queretaro · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Madalena Matias WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alice Tubello vs Polona Hercog?
Our model gives 65% to Alice Tubello, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.