Prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Marina Bassols Ribera
Team pages: Maria Lourdes Carle · Marina Bassols Ribera
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Lourdes Carle
Marina Bassols Ribera
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Lourdes Carle
3-7 (W-L)
Marina Bassols Ribera
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Lourdes Carle
1–2
Marina Bassols Ribera
(3 last)
- 17 Jul0-2 3-12L
- 24 Feb0-2 6-13L
- 04 Jun2-0 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Lourdes Carle 1449 · Marina Bassols Ribera 1536
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Marina Bassols Ribera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marina Bassols Ribera (rating 1449 vs 1536).
- Marina Bassols Ribera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Maria Lourdes Carle 1–2 Marina Bassols Ribera (3).
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (7.1/match).
- Note: Marina Bassols Ribera makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Marina Bassols Ribera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.5 | 10-9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 59% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Maria Lourdes Carle 1 – 2 Marina Bassols Ribera (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Lourdes Carle 1–2 Marina Bassols Ribera
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 WTA Kitzbuhel | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/02/22 ITF W25 Santo Domingo | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/06/21 ITF W25 Santo Domingo | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Lourdes Carle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Despina Papamichail WTA Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Julia Grabher WTA Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Laura Pigossi WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Marina Bassols Ribera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Alice Tubello WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Erika Andreeva WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Jodie Anna Burrage W100 Wrexham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Lizette Cabrera W100 Wrexham |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Caroline Werner W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Francesca Curmi WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Lourdes Carle vs Marina Bassols Ribera?
Our model gives 64% to Marina Bassols Ribera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.