Tennis · M15 Roldan · 12/11, 14:00
Prediction: Rocco Valente vs Lucio Ratti
Team pages: Rocco Valente · Lucio Ratti
Prediction summary
Winner
Rocco Valente
Lucio Ratti
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rocco Valente
6-4 (W-L)
Lucio Ratti
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rocco Valente
1–2
Lucio Ratti
(3 last)
- 20 Mar0-2 5-12L
- 16 Apr2-0 14-10W
- 05 Nov0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rocco Valente 1502 · Lucio Ratti 1518
| Rocco Valente | Lucio Ratti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Rocco Valente 1–2 Lucio Ratti (3).
- Note: Lucio Ratti makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Rocco Valente | Lucio Ratti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.2 | 13.4-12.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Rocco Valente 1 – 2 Lucio Ratti (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rocco Valente 1–2 Lucio Ratti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 M15 Punta Del Este | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/04/24 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/11/23 ITF M15 Rosario | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rocco Valente
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Tomas Giangrasso M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/11 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/10 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Joao Pessoa |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/10 | Enzo Crevelaro M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Fermin Tenti M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | Lorenzo Gagliardo UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/10 | Nereo Suarez UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Lucio Ratti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Roldan |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/11 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 25/10 | Alessandro Rubini Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Coria Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rocco Valente vs Lucio Ratti?
Our model gives 72% to Lucio Ratti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.