Tennis · M15 Roldan · 13/11, 14:00
Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Tomas Martinez
Team pages: Juan Estevez · Tomas Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Estevez
Tomas Martinez
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Estevez
3-7 (W-L)
Tomas Martinez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Estevez 1429 · Tomas Martinez 1534
| Juan Estevez | Tomas Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Martinez (rating 1429 vs 1534).
- Tomas Martinez is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Tomas Martinez makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Juan Estevez | Tomas Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 13% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-13.1 | 12.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Estevez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Valentin Basel M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/11 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Roldan |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Tomas Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Joao Pessoa |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 31/10 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/10 | Dante Pagani M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 27/10 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Jackson Ross Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Tomas Martinez?
Our model gives 59% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.