Tennis · M15 Roldan · 13/11, 14:00
Prediction: Dante Pagani vs Hernan Casanova
Team pages: Dante Pagani · Hernan Casanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Dante Pagani
Hernan Casanova
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dante Pagani
4-6 (W-L)
Hernan Casanova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dante Pagani 1463 · Hernan Casanova 1502
| Dante Pagani | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dante Pagani | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.2 | 11.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dante Pagani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Felipe De Dios M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/10 | Tomas Martinez M15 Joao Pessoa |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/10 | Juan Pablo Ficovich M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Maceio |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Hernan Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 10/11 | Ignacio De Armas M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/11 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexandre Bobiere Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dante Pagani vs Hernan Casanova?
Our model gives 66% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.