Tennis · M25 Montreal · 12/11, 16:00
Prediction: Cannon Kingsley vs Axel Nefve
Team pages: Cannon Kingsley · Axel Nefve
Prediction summary
Winner
Cannon Kingsley
Axel Nefve
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Cannon Kingsley
8-2 (W-L)
Axel Nefve
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cannon Kingsley
1–0
Axel Nefve
(1 last)
- 18 Nov2-1 18-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cannon Kingsley 1553 · Axel Nefve 1504
| Cannon Kingsley | Axel Nefve | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cannon Kingsley (rating 1553 vs 1504).
- Head-to-head: Cannon Kingsley 1–0 Axel Nefve (1).
Statistics
| Cannon Kingsley | Axel Nefve | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-12.5 | 10.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Cannon Kingsley 1 – 0 Axel Nefve (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cannon Kingsley 1–0 Axel Nefve
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/21 M25 Columbus | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cannon Kingsley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Hoyoung Roh M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/04 | Felix Corwin M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/04 | Davide Tortora M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/04 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/04 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/04 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/04 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/03 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Adria Soriano Barrera Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Axel Nefve
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M25 Montreal |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/11 | Anuj Watane M15 Hilton Head Island |
1-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Joshua Peck M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Petrov M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Jerrid Gaines Jr M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cannon Kingsley vs Axel Nefve?
Our model gives 68% to Cannon Kingsley, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.