Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 12/11, 09:00
Prediction: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Giulia Safina Popa
Team pages: Lucia Cortez Llorca · Giulia Safina Popa
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Giulia Safina Popa
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Cortez Llorca
6-4 (W-L)
Giulia Safina Popa
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1533 · Giulia Safina Popa 1601
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Giulia Safina Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giulia Safina Popa (rating 1533 vs 1601).
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Giulia Safina Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-8.4 | 11.5-7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 60.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Sofia Shapatava W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Seville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Angelica Sara W35 Seville |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
Giulia Safina Popa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Maria Golovina W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Sophie Luescher W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Andreea Prisacariu W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Daniela Ciobanu W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Anna Ozerova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Julia Hofmann W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Giulia Safina Popa?
Our model gives 56% to Giulia Safina Popa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.