Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 13/11, 09:00
Prediction: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca
Team pages: Aurora Zantedeschi · Lucia Cortez Llorca
Prediction summary
Winner
Aurora Zantedeschi
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora Zantedeschi
6-4 (W-L)
Lucia Cortez Llorca
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aurora Zantedeschi
1–0
Lucia Cortez Llorca
(1 last)
- 24 May2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aurora Zantedeschi 1516 · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1538
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Aurora Zantedeschi 1–0 Lucia Cortez Llorca (1).
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.2 | 9.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 55.7% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Aurora Zantedeschi 1 – 0 Lucia Cortez Llorca (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aurora Zantedeschi 1–0 Lucia Cortez Llorca
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/24 ITF W75 Grado | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora Zantedeschi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Loes Ebeling Koning W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/11 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Fiona Ferro WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Seville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Seville |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Marta Lombardini WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lucia Cortez Llorca
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Giulia Safina Popa W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/11 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Sofia Shapatava W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Seville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora Zantedeschi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca?
Our model gives 53% to Aurora Zantedeschi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.