Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 13/11, 09:00
Prediction: Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Matilde Paoletti
Team pages: Sapfo Sakellaridi · Matilde Paoletti
Prediction summary
Winner
Sapfo Sakellaridi
Matilde Paoletti
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sapfo Sakellaridi
5-5 (W-L)
Matilde Paoletti
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sapfo Sakellaridi
1–0
Matilde Paoletti
(1 last)
- 04 Feb2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sapfo Sakellaridi 1475 · Matilde Paoletti 1552
| Sapfo Sakellaridi | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matilde Paoletti (rating 1475 vs 1552).
- Head-to-head: Sapfo Sakellaridi 1–0 Matilde Paoletti (1).
Statistics
| Sapfo Sakellaridi | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.5 | 11.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 50% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Sapfo Sakellaridi 1 – 0 Matilde Paoletti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sapfo Sakellaridi 1–0 Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/21 W15 Antalya | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sapfo Sakellaridi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Enola Chiesa WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/10 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Didi Bredberg Canizares W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Cristina Diaz Adrover WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Varna |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Valeria Garnevska W15 Varna |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Carolina Gasparini W15 Varna |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Jennifer Ruggeri W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/11 | Cristina Diaz Adrover W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/11 | Martha Matoula W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Ariana Geerlings W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/11 | Styliani Roussopoulou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Pieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Matilde Paoletti?
Our model gives 73% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.