Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 12/11, 09:00

Prediction: Josip Simundza vs Dan Brand

Team pages: Josip Simundza

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Josip Simundza Dan Brand
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Josip Simundza 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLWW
Dan Brand 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Josip Simundza 1554 · Dan Brand 1498
Josip SimundzaDan Brand
Our model58%42%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Josip Simundza (rating 1554 vs 1498).
  • Note: Dan Brand makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Josip SimundzaDan Brand
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 100% (1) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.2-1.1
Games (G-P)12.3-910.2-10.3
Aces2.70.4
Double faults1.54
1st serve %69%56.3%
Break %47.9%68.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Josip Simundza

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Matyas Kozlovsky
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
20/10 Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M15 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
14/10 Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M15 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
31/05 Matyas Fuele
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
30/05 Dusan Obradovic
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/05 Amaury Raynel
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-1 14-9 W
28/05 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/05 Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
21/05 Noa Vukadin
M25 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
20/05 Yanick Schneider
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Dan Brand

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Jakub Filip
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/11 Tomas Curras Abasolo
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
28/10 Tymur Bieldiugin
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
07/08 Shintaro Imai
M15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
06/08 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Astana
2-1 17-14 W
31/07 Zangar Nurlanuly
M15 Astana
1-2 12-18 L
30/07 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
29/07 Olaf Pieczkowski
M15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
31/03 Ammar Elamin
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 5-13 L
26/03 Amit Vales
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 8-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Josip Simundza vs Dan Brand?

Our model gives 58% to Josip Simundza, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.