Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 13/11, 09:00
Prediction: Michel Hopp vs Imanol Lopez Morillo
Team pages: Michel Hopp · Imanol Lopez Morillo
Prediction summary
Winner
Michel Hopp
Imanol Lopez Morillo
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Michel Hopp
5-5 (W-L)
Imanol Lopez Morillo
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michel Hopp 1530 · Imanol Lopez Morillo 1576
| Michel Hopp | Imanol Lopez Morillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Imanol Lopez Morillo (rating 1530 vs 1576).
Statistics
| Michel Hopp | Imanol Lopez Morillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.4 | 11.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michel Hopp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Julian Desousa M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/11 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Cezar Cretu M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Miles Jones M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 29/10 | Alexander Vasilev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Jiri Cizek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Imanol Lopez Morillo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Ioannis Kountourakis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/11 | Kacper Knitter M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/11 | Miguel Damas M25 Valencia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Viacheslav Bielinskyi M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Alan Wazny M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Matei Victor Chelemen M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/09 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michel Hopp vs Imanol Lopez Morillo?
Our model gives 58% to Imanol Lopez Morillo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.