Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 12/11, 10:00

Prediction: Michel Hopp vs Julian Desousa

Team pages: Michel Hopp

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Michel Hopp Julian Desousa
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Michel Hopp 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLWWLLW
Julian Desousa 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Michel Hopp 1510 · Julian Desousa 1481
Michel HoppJulian Desousa
Our model54%46%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Julian Desousa makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Michel HoppJulian Desousa
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.30.9-1.1
Games (G-P)10.6-11.58.6-10
Aces2.13.2
Double faults2.14.8
1st serve %68.1%59%
Break %38.8%17.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Michel Hopp

WWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Anas Mazdrashki
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/11 Cezar Cretu
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
30/10 Miles Jones
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 3-10 L
29/10 Alexander Vasilev
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
27/10 Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
22/10 Benjamin Pietri
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
21/10 Jiri Cizek
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
08/10 Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Burgas
1-2 11-16 L
07/10 Francesco Ferrari
M15 Burgas
2-1 16-10 W
01/10 Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M15 Sibenik
0-2 8-12 L

Julian Desousa

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Evangelos Kypriotis
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
02/09 Pieter De Lange
M15 Haren
0-1 2-6 L
12/05 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 12-9 L
11/05 Brian Dal Zilio
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
07/04 Jonas Pelle Hartenstein
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/03 Alex Jones
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
03/01 Roland Stuurman
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
02/01 Willem van AS
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
31/12 Stefan Mos
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
30/12 Axel Huysmans
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Michel Hopp vs Julian Desousa?

Our model gives 73% to Michel Hopp, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.