Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 12/11, 09:00
Prediction: Matilde Paoletti vs Jennifer Ruggeri
Team pages: Matilde Paoletti · Jennifer Ruggeri
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Paoletti
Jennifer Ruggeri
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Paoletti
7-3 (W-L)
Jennifer Ruggeri
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matilde Paoletti
0–1
Jennifer Ruggeri
(1 last)
- 14 Jul0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Paoletti 1539 · Jennifer Ruggeri 1573
| Matilde Paoletti | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matilde Paoletti 0–1 Jennifer Ruggeri (1).
Statistics
| Matilde Paoletti | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.5 | 12.9-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Matilde Paoletti 0 – 1 Jennifer Ruggeri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matilde Paoletti 0–1 Jennifer Ruggeri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/23 ITF W60 Rome | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Cristina Diaz Adrover W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/11 | Martha Matoula W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Ariana Geerlings W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/11 | Styliani Roussopoulou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Pieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Eva Bennemann W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Jennifer Ruggeri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/11 | Nuria Brancaccio W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Eliska Tichackova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Paoletti vs Jennifer Ruggeri?
Our model gives 58% to Jennifer Ruggeri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.