Tennis · M25 Montreal · 11/11, 17:30
Prediction: Mikael Arseneault vs Volodymyr Gurenko
Team pages: Mikael Arseneault · Volodymyr Gurenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Mikael Arseneault
Volodymyr Gurenko
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mikael Arseneault
6-4 (W-L)
Volodymyr Gurenko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikael Arseneault 1490 · Volodymyr Gurenko 1468
| Mikael Arseneault | Volodymyr Gurenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mikael Arseneault | Volodymyr Gurenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.9 | 9.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikael Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Nikola Slavic M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Eliot Nobel M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Matt Kuhar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | William Jansen M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Matisse Farzam M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Volodymyr Gurenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Matthew Michibata M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/11 | Mathias Hamel-Van Dun M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Alexander Bernard M15 Pembroke |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Neo Niedner M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Andres Rendon M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Tristan Stringer M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikael Arseneault vs Volodymyr Gurenko?
Our model gives 71% to Mikael Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.