Tennis · M25 Montreal · 11/11, 16:00
Prediction: Jaden Weekes vs Thomas Gerbaud
Team pages: Jaden Weekes · Thomas Gerbaud
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaden Weekes
Thomas Gerbaud
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jaden Weekes
5-5 (W-L)
Thomas Gerbaud
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaden Weekes 1495 · Thomas Gerbaud 1485
| Jaden Weekes | Thomas Gerbaud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Thomas Gerbaud dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Note: Jaden Weekes makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Thomas Gerbaud makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Jaden Weekes | Thomas Gerbaud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.6 | 10.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaden Weekes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Eric David Verdes M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Felix Roussel M15 Ithaca |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Henry Lieberman M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Noah Zamora M15 Lexington |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Henry Lieberman M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Hitesh Chauhan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Hazem Naw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Malek El-Qurneh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Thomas Gerbaud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Daniel Kliebhan M25 Montreal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Anirudh Rao M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Antoine Walch M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Amaury Raynel M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sean Hodkin M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Victor Bonnet Eymard M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Meerbusch |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Damien Salvestre M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Jules Auffray M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaden Weekes vs Thomas Gerbaud?
Our model gives 55% to Jaden Weekes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.