Prediction: Laura Samsonova vs Sofia Costoulas
Team pages: Laura Samsonova · Sofia Costoulas
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Samsonova
Sofia Costoulas
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Samsonova
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Costoulas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Samsonova 1520 · Sofia Costoulas 1474
| Laura Samsonova | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Samsonova (rating 1520 vs 1474).
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Laura Samsonova | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.1 | 10.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 68% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Carolina Alves WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Carole Monnet WTA Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/11 | Yuliana Lizarazo WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Alice Tubello WTA Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Lucie Nguyen Tan WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Sofia Costoulas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Antonella Esquivel Usech WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/11 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Sofya Lansere WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Kristina Mladenovic WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Hina Inoue W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Shiyu Ye W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Samsonova vs Sofia Costoulas?
Our model gives 64% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.