Tennis · M15 Las Palmas · 11/11, 10:00
Prediction: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Carles Rojas
Team pages: Mario Arce Fernandez · Carles Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Arce Fernandez
Carles Rojas
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Arce Fernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Carles Rojas
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mario Arce Fernandez
0–1
Carles Rojas
(1 last)
- 11 Aug0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Arce Fernandez 1511 · Carles Rojas 1476
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Carles Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mario Arce Fernandez 0–1 Carles Rojas (1).
Statistics
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Carles Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.2 | 8.9-10 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Mario Arce Fernandez 0 – 1 Carles Rojas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mario Arce Fernandez 0–1 Carles Rojas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/25 M25 Gijon | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Arce Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Manuel Belda M15 Las Palmas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Yshai Oliel M25 Valencia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Yeray Andres Pastor M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Robin Bertrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Leo Deflandre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Rocco Piatti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Daniel Batista M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Carles Rojas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Valencia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Matias Reyniak M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Michiel de Krom M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Asier Meneses Perny M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Sander Jong M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Marc Vives Martinez M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nicolas Robert M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Arce Fernandez vs Carles Rojas?
Our model gives 61% to Mario Arce Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.