Tennis · M15 Las Palmas · 11/11, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolo Toffanin vs Manuel Mazza
Team pages: Nicolo Toffanin · Manuel Mazza
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolo Toffanin
Manuel Mazza
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolo Toffanin
2-8 (W-L)
Manuel Mazza
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolo Toffanin 1467 · Manuel Mazza 1557
| Nicolo Toffanin | Manuel Mazza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manuel Mazza (rating 1467 vs 1557).
- Manuel Mazza is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolo Toffanin | Manuel Mazza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.8 | 11.4-9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolo Toffanin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Daniil Stepanov M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Ivan Biletic M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Jack Loge M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Paul Schmid M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Manuel Mazza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Riccardo Di Vita M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolo Toffanin vs Manuel Mazza?
Our model gives 78% to Manuel Mazza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.