Tennis · M15 Las Palmas · 11/11, 10:00
Prediction: Sergi Fita Juan vs Giacomo Crisostomo
Team pages: Sergi Fita Juan · Giacomo Crisostomo
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergi Fita Juan
Giacomo Crisostomo
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Fita Juan
0-10 (W-L)
Giacomo Crisostomo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Fita Juan 1407 · Giacomo Crisostomo 1450
| Sergi Fita Juan | Giacomo Crisostomo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giacomo Crisostomo (rating 1407 vs 1450).
Statistics
| Sergi Fita Juan | Giacomo Crisostomo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-1.9 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.8-12.5 | 9.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 51.4% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 45% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Fita Juan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Valencia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Ivan Biletic M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | John Sperle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Carles Cordoba M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Santander |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Giacomo Crisostomo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Samuel Arauzo Martinez M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Matteo Mura M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Louis Allen M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Daniel Lechner M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Fita Juan vs Giacomo Crisostomo?
Our model gives 50% to Sergi Fita Juan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.