Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 11/11, 09:00
Prediction: Marta Lombardini vs Loes Ebeling Koning
Team pages: Marta Lombardini · Loes Ebeling Koning
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Lombardini
Loes Ebeling Koning
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Lombardini
3-7 (W-L)
Loes Ebeling Koning
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Lombardini 1506 · Loes Ebeling Koning 1554
| Marta Lombardini | Loes Ebeling Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loes Ebeling Koning (rating 1506 vs 1554).
Statistics
| Marta Lombardini | Loes Ebeling Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.4 | 12-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 60.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Lombardini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Sonja Zhenikhova W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 04/11 | Maria Golovina W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Lucie Petruzelova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Loes Ebeling Koning
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/11 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Mathilde Lollia WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Pia Lovric WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Rositsa Dencheva W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Teodora Naidenova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W50 Plovdiv |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Alessandra Mazzola W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Jule Niemeier W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Lombardini vs Loes Ebeling Koning?
Our model gives 61% to Loes Ebeling Koning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.