Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 12/11, 09:00
Prediction: Natalija Senic vs Alisa Oktiabreva
Team pages: Natalija Senic · Alisa Oktiabreva
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalija Senic
Alisa Oktiabreva
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Natalija Senic
3-7 (W-L)
Alisa Oktiabreva
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalija Senic 1490 · Alisa Oktiabreva 1636
| Natalija Senic | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1490 vs 1636).
- Alisa Oktiabreva is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Natalija Senic | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.2 | 13-6.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 49.5% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 51% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalija Senic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Elena Korokozidi W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Noemi Maines W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Isabel Skoog W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Maria Andrienko W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Gabriella Price W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Samira De Stefano W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Miriam Bulgaru W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alisa Oktiabreva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Dimitra Georgakopoulou W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/11 | Martha Matoula W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Deborah Chiesa W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Antonia Stoyanov W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Alice Tubello W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Ofir Manhard W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalija Senic vs Alisa Oktiabreva?
Our model gives 81% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.