Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 12/11, 09:00
Prediction: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
Team pages: Michael Geerts · Sumit Nagal
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Geerts
Sumit Nagal
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Geerts
3-7 (W-L)
Sumit Nagal
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Geerts 1517 · Sumit Nagal 1537
| Michael Geerts | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Michael Geerts makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Michael Geerts | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.5 | 10.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 29.8% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Geerts
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Niels McDonald Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/10 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Joao Domingues Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/09 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Sumit Nagal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Karim Bennani Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/11 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 05/11 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal?
Our model gives 63% to Sumit Nagal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.