Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 13/11, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Carboni vs Philip Henning
Team pages: Lorenzo Carboni · Philip Henning
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Carboni
Philip Henning
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Carboni
5-5 (W-L)
Philip Henning
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Carboni 1548 · Philip Henning 1546
| Lorenzo Carboni | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Carboni | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.7 | 12.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Carboni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/11 | Remy Bertola Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/11 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/11 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/11 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 03/11 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Dmitry Popko M25 Malta |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Xavi Matas Ortega M25 Malta |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Adrien Gobat M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/10 | Louis Wessels M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Antoine Walch M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Carboni vs Philip Henning?
Our model gives 58% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.