Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 12/11, 09:00
Prediction: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
Team pages: Francesco Maestrelli · Johannus Monday
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Maestrelli
Johannus Monday
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Maestrelli
7-3 (W-L)
Johannus Monday
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Maestrelli 1533 · Johannus Monday 1535
| Francesco Maestrelli | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Francesco Maestrelli dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 60.8% break avg.
- Johannus Monday dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 52.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Francesco Maestrelli | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.8 | 12.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 60.8% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Maestrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Jack Loge Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/11 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Peter Makk Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Francesco Forti Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Johannus Monday
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Maximilian Marterer M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Loann Massard M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/08 | Patrick Maloney M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | William Nolan M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday?
Our model gives 53% to Francesco Maestrelli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.