Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 11/11, 08:00
Prediction: Robert Guna vs Lars Wagenaar
Team pages: Robert Guna · Lars Wagenaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Robert Guna
Lars Wagenaar
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Robert Guna
5-5 (W-L)
Lars Wagenaar
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robert Guna 1499 · Lars Wagenaar 1473
| Robert Guna | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lars Wagenaar makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Robert Guna | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.2 | 9.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 50% | 28.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robert Guna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Robin Bertrand M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 04/11 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Florian Broska M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniele Minighini M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Iannis Miletich M15 Arad |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lars Wagenaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Taymur Muhammad UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Tomas Curras Abasolo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 21/10 | Daniel Batista UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Tom Zeuch M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 21/09 | Gray Voelzke M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Batiste Guerra M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Dax Donders M15 Haren |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Noah Thurner M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robert Guna vs Lars Wagenaar?
Our model gives 72% to Robert Guna, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.