Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 12/11, 02:00

Prediction: Cruz Hewitt vs Akira Santillan

Team pages: Cruz Hewitt · Akira Santillan

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Cruz Hewitt Akira Santillan
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Cruz Hewitt 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLWWLLL
Akira Santillan 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cruz Hewitt 1534 · Akira Santillan 1494
Cruz HewittAkira Santillan
Our model56%44%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruz Hewitt (rating 1534 vs 1494).
  • Cruz Hewitt dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 65% break avg.

Statistics

Cruz HewittAkira Santillan
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11-10.611-11.6
Aces8.37.7
Double faults2.73
1st serve %74.5%72.7%
Break %65%38.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cruz Hewitt

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Tristan Schoolkate
Challenger Brisbane · Hard
2-1 17-17 W
20/10 Rigele Te
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
16/10 Egor Pleshivtsev
M25 Qian Daohu
0-2 9-13 L
15/10 Yaojie Zeng
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-4 W
14/10 Jordan Chiu
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-3 W
05/10 Coleman Wong
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/09 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
17/09 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
15/09 Digvijay Pratap Singh
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
11/09 Max Purcell
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Akira Santillan

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Enzo Aguiard
Challenger Brisbane · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/10 Charles Broom
Challenger Ningbo · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/10 Jie Cui
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
22/10 Liam Broady
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
20/10 Yaroslav Demin
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
09/10 Keisuke Saitoh
Challenger Wuning · Hard
1-2 12-18 L
07/10 Yaroslav Demin
Challenger Wuning · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/10 Luca Castelnuovo
Challenger Wuning · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
29/09 Luka Pavlovic
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/09 Alex Bolt
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
1-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cruz Hewitt vs Akira Santillan?

Our model gives 56% to Cruz Hewitt, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.