Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 12/11, 02:00
Prediction: Dane Sweeny vs Casey Hoole
Team pages: Dane Sweeny · Casey Hoole
Prediction summary
Winner
Dane Sweeny
Casey Hoole
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dane Sweeny
3-7 (W-L)
Casey Hoole
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dane Sweeny
1–0
Casey Hoole
(1 last)
- 24 Feb2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dane Sweeny 1497 · Casey Hoole 1578
| Dane Sweeny | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1497 vs 1578).
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 47.3% break avg.
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dane Sweeny 1–0 Casey Hoole (1).
Statistics
| Dane Sweeny | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.1 | 14.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Dane Sweeny 1 – 0 Casey Hoole (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dane Sweeny 1–0 Casey Hoole
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Brisbane | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dane Sweeny
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Anton Shepp Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Tristan Schoolkate ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
Casey Hoole
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 24/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Li Tu M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/10 | Nick Beamish M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dane Sweeny vs Casey Hoole?
Our model gives 55% to Dane Sweeny, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.