Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 12/11, 03:00
Prediction: Elena Micic vs Hayu Kinoshita
Team pages: Elena Micic · Hayu Kinoshita
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Micic
Hayu Kinoshita
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Micic
4-6 (W-L)
Hayu Kinoshita
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Micic 1463 · Hayu Kinoshita 1431
| Elena Micic | Hayu Kinoshita | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elena Micic makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Elena Micic | Hayu Kinoshita | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10 | 9.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Micic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Lizette Cabrera W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Maria Golovina WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Fangran Tian WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Julia Riera WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Hayu Kinoshita
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/10 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Cadence Brace WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/09 | Victoria Rodriguez WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Micic vs Hayu Kinoshita?
Our model gives 53% to Hayu Kinoshita, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.