Tennis · M25 Montreal · 10/11, 16:00

Prediction: Jaden Weekes vs Eric David Verdes

Team pages: Eric David Verdes

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Jaden Weekes Eric David Verdes
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jaden Weekes 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLWWLL
Eric David Verdes 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jaden Weekes 1473 · Eric David Verdes 1580
Jaden WeekesEric David Verdes
Our model35%65%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric David Verdes (rating 1473 vs 1580).
  • Eric David Verdes dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 43.7% break avg.
  • Eric David Verdes is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Jaden Weekes makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Jaden WeekesEric David Verdes
Win %40%80%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 100% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.51.6-0.5
Games (G-P)9.2-12.412.1-7.7
Aces2.36.3
Double faults5.62.2
1st serve %59.2%77.6%
Break %54.9%43.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jaden Weekes

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Daniel De Jonge
M15 Trois-Rivieres
0-2 6-12 L
21/10 Felix Roussel
M15 Ithaca
1-2 13-16 L
20/10 Henry Lieberman
M15 Ithaca
2-0 12-7 W
14/10 Noah Zamora
M15 Lexington
1-2 8-15 L
13/10 Henry Lieberman
M15 Lexington
2-1 9-12 W
24/09 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/09 Hitesh Chauhan
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-12 W
02/09 Hazem Naw
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
01/09 Malek El-Qurneh
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 13-13 W
25/08 Abdulhamid Mubarak
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Eric David Verdes

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Kim Johannes Niethammer
M25 Montreal
2-0 12-2 W
07/11 Johan Oscar Lien
M15 Trois-Rivieres
0-2 10-13 L
06/11 Theodore Dean
M15 Trois-Rivieres
2-0 12-4 W
05/11 Antoine Genereux
M15 Trois-Rivieres
2-0 12-4 W
04/11 Benjamin Thomas George
M15 Trois-Rivieres
2-0 13-9 W
02/11 Stefano Lacroce
M15 Trois-Rivieres
2-0 12-1 W
21/10 Rodrigo Fernandes
M15 Ithaca
0-2 10-13 L
04/10 Rodrigo Fernandes
UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
03/10 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
02/10 Felipe Pinzon Moreno
UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jaden Weekes vs Eric David Verdes?

Our model gives 73% to Eric David Verdes, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.