Tennis · M25 Montreal · 10/11, 19:00
Prediction: Nicolas Arseneault vs Niels Visker
Team pages: Nicolas Arseneault · Niels Visker
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Arseneault
Niels Visker
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Arseneault
5-5 (W-L)
Niels Visker
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Arseneault 1506 · Niels Visker 1511
| Nicolas Arseneault | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nicolas Arseneault | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.2 | 11.3-10 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 12.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 81.1% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 23.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 22/10 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/10 | Ethan Muza M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 14/10 | Duje Markovina M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Jack Anthrop M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Michal Krajci Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/11 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Arthur Bouquier M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Olbia · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Davide Vargiu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Marko Topo Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Niels McDonald Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Tom Paris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Arseneault vs Niels Visker?
Our model gives 56% to Niels Visker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.