Tennis · M25 Montreal · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Thomas Gerbaud vs Daniel Kliebhan
Team pages: Thomas Gerbaud · Daniel Kliebhan
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Gerbaud
Daniel Kliebhan
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Gerbaud
7-3 (W-L)
Daniel Kliebhan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Gerbaud 1523 · Daniel Kliebhan 1441
| Thomas Gerbaud | Daniel Kliebhan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thomas Gerbaud (rating 1523 vs 1441).
- Thomas Gerbaud dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Thomas Gerbaud is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Thomas Gerbaud makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Thomas Gerbaud | Daniel Kliebhan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.2 | 8.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Gerbaud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Anirudh Rao M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Antoine Walch M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Amaury Raynel M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sean Hodkin M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Victor Bonnet Eymard M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Meerbusch |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Damien Salvestre M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Jules Auffray M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Tom Jonio M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Daniel Kliebhan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Maxime St-Hilaire M15 Trois-Rivieres |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Alexander Bernard M15 Rochester |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Lucas Nunez M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/05 | Mason Dace M25 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 10/03 | Oren Vasser M15 Montreal |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 05/03 | Quinn Vandecasteele M15 Sherbrooke |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Matthew Michibata M15 Sherbrooke |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/02 | Nemanja Malesevic M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/02 | William Nolan M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/01 | Louis Van Herck M25 Glasgow |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Gerbaud vs Daniel Kliebhan?
Our model gives 63% to Thomas Gerbaud.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.