Tennis · M25 Montreal · 10/11, 19:00
Prediction: Maximilian Marterer vs Benjamin Thomas George
Team pages: Maximilian Marterer · Benjamin Thomas George
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximilian Marterer
Benjamin Thomas George
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maximilian Marterer
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Thomas George
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximilian Marterer 1534 · Benjamin Thomas George 1442
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Thomas George | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximilian Marterer (rating 1534 vs 1442).
- Maximilian Marterer is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Benjamin Thomas George makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Thomas George | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 0.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.9 | 8.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 31.5% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximilian Marterer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Johannus Monday M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Arthur Bouquier M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Tom Paris M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniel Masur M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Benjamin Thomas George
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Eric David Verdes M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
0-1 | 8-10 | L |
| 21/09 | Duarte De Lima Sanches M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Alan Sau Franco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximilian Marterer vs Benjamin Thomas George?
Our model gives 76% to Maximilian Marterer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.