Tennis · M15 Roldan · 11/11, 14:00
Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Team pages: Juan Estevez · Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Estevez
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Estevez
2-8 (W-L)
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Estevez
1–0
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
(1 last)
- 09 Jul2-0 11-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Estevez 1404 · Federico Aguilar Cardozo 1566
| Juan Estevez | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Aguilar Cardozo (rating 1404 vs 1566).
- Federico Aguilar Cardozo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Juan Estevez 1–0 Federico Aguilar Cardozo (1).
Statistics
| Juan Estevez | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 11% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-15 | 12.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 62% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Juan Estevez 1 – 0 Federico Aguilar Cardozo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Estevez 1–0 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 M15 San Salvador de Jujuy | 2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Estevez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Nico Hipfl M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/11 | Thiago Pernas Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Nereo Suarez UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Pablo Mikito Mitoma UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo?
Our model gives 51% to Federico Aguilar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.