Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 10/11, 14:00
Prediction: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier
Team pages: Adrien Gobat · Daniel Altmaier
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Gobat
Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Gobat
7-3 (W-L)
Daniel Altmaier
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Gobat 1583 · Daniel Altmaier 1493
| Adrien Gobat | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Gobat (rating 1583 vs 1493).
- Adrien Gobat dominates on serve: 8 aces and 50.9% break avg.
- Adrien Gobat is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adrien Gobat | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.8 | 12.3-13.5 |
| Aces | 8 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 28.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Gobat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/11 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Philip Henning M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Daniel Masur M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Mae Malige M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Martin Riu M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Andres M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Daniel Altmaier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/10 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Henry Bernet ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/10 | Taylor Fritz ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Titouan Droguet ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 09/10 | Ben Shelton ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Holger Rune ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier?
Our model gives 60% to Daniel Altmaier, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.