Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 13/11, 13:00

Prediction: Calvin Hemery vs Pedro Martinez

Team pages: Calvin Hemery · Pedro Martinez

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Calvin Hemery Pedro Martinez
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Hemery 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLLW
Pedro Martinez 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Calvin Hemery 1551 · Pedro Martinez 1537
Calvin HemeryPedro Martinez
Our model52%48%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Calvin HemeryPedro Martinez
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)11.5-11.410.8-11.2
Aces6.61.1
Double faults3.41.7
1st serve %71%65.3%
Break %27.2%51.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Calvin Hemery

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/11 Sebastian Baez
Challenger Orleans · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
10/11 Shintaro Mochizuki
Challenger Orleans · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
09/11 Lucas Poullain
Challenger Orleans · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
08/11 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Challenger Orleans · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/11 Philip Henning
Challenger Taranto · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/10 Robin Catry
Challenger Brest · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
25/10 Adrien Gobat
Challenger Brest · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/10 Max Houkes
M25 Kigali
1-2 10-16 L
09/10 Marlon Vankan
M25 Kigali
2-0 12-6 W

Pedro Martinez

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/11 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Orleans · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/11 Jurij Rodionov
Challenger Orleans · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
14/10 Matej Dodig
Challenger Maia · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
10/10 Laslo Djere
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
08/10 Daniel Rincon
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
06/10 August Holmgren
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-1 16-17 W
22/09 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
13/09 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
12/09 Laslo Djere
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-1 15-15 W
11/09 Valerio Aboian
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Calvin Hemery vs Pedro Martinez?

Our model gives 55% to Pedro Martinez, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.