Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 13/11, 10:00
Prediction: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Otto Virtanen
Team pages: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg · Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
4-6 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
0–1
Otto Virtanen
(1 last)
- 08 Nov0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1504 · Otto Virtanen 1546
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Otto Virtanen (rating 1504 vs 1546).
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 11.3 aces and 44.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0–1 Otto Virtanen (1).
Statistics
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12 | 12-11.6 |
| Aces | 11.3 | 11.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 36% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0 – 1 Otto Virtanen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0–1 Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/25 Challenger Helsinki | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/11 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/11 | Eero Vasa Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Martin Damm Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Clement Tabur Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/11 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/11 | Laslo Djere Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/11 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 60% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.