Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Matilde Paoletti vs Cristina Diaz Adrover
Team pages: Matilde Paoletti · Cristina Diaz Adrover
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Paoletti
Cristina Diaz Adrover
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Paoletti
7-3 (W-L)
Cristina Diaz Adrover
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Paoletti 1531 · Cristina Diaz Adrover 1502
| Matilde Paoletti | Cristina Diaz Adrover | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matilde Paoletti | Cristina Diaz Adrover | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.7 | 8.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 49.3% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Martha Matoula W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Ariana Geerlings W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/11 | Styliani Roussopoulou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Pieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Eva Bennemann W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Cristina Diaz Adrover
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Antonia Stoyanov W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Juliette Mazzoni W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Ida Wobker WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Sapfo Sakellaridi WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 07/10 | Maria Garcia Cid W35 Seville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Lorena Solar Donoso W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Ana Maye Martinez W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Marina Quesada Oyonarte W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Paoletti vs Cristina Diaz Adrover?
Our model gives 72% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.