Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 11/11, 09:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Lucia Cortez Llorca
Team pages: Lia Karatancheva · Lucia Cortez Llorca
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
3-7 (W-L)
Lucia Cortez Llorca
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1406 · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1532
| Lia Karatancheva | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Cortez Llorca (rating 1406 vs 1532).
- Lucia Cortez Llorca is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-12.2 | 9.6-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 53.1% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 57.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Eliska Tichackova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Istanbul |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Ida Wobker WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Luisina Giovannini W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Jule Niemeier W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Ipek Oz W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Jule Niemeier W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Sofia Shapatava W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Seville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Angelica Sara W35 Seville |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Lucia Cortez Llorca?
Our model gives 60% to Lucia Cortez Llorca, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.