Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 10/11, 08:00
Prediction: Marta Lombardini vs Sonja Zhenikhova
Team pages: Marta Lombardini · Sonja Zhenikhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Lombardini
Sonja Zhenikhova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Lombardini
4-6 (W-L)
Sonja Zhenikhova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Lombardini 1496 · Sonja Zhenikhova 1563
| Marta Lombardini | Sonja Zhenikhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sonja Zhenikhova (rating 1496 vs 1563).
Statistics
| Marta Lombardini | Sonja Zhenikhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.1 | 9.3-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 67% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Lombardini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Maria Golovina W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Lucie Petruzelova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Sonja Zhenikhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Mia Horvit W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 24/10 | Maja Radenkovic W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Aurora Nosei W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Masa Jankovic W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Madhurima Sawant W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Daria Maria Marioara W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Lombardini vs Sonja Zhenikhova?
Our model gives 54% to Marta Lombardini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.