Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 10/11, 12:00
Prediction: Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni
Team pages: Remy Bertola · Lorenzo Carboni
Prediction summary
Winner
Remy Bertola
Lorenzo Carboni
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Remy Bertola
7-3 (W-L)
Lorenzo Carboni
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Remy Bertola
0–1
Lorenzo Carboni
(1 last)
- 24 Aug1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Remy Bertola 1477 · Lorenzo Carboni 1537
| Remy Bertola | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Carboni (rating 1477 vs 1537).
- Head-to-head: Remy Bertola 0–1 Lorenzo Carboni (1).
Statistics
| Remy Bertola | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-13 | 9-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Remy Bertola 0 – 1 Lorenzo Carboni (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Remy Bertola 0–1 Lorenzo Carboni
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 M25 Lesa | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Remy Bertola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 04/11 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Mika Brunold ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/10 | Jakub Paul ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | David Goffin ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Federico Cina ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 14/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Lorenzo Carboni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/11 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni?
Our model gives 58% to Remy Bertola, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.